The Pennsylvania primary is now history. We're reminded one more time that some white voters...particularly women over 55 and lower middle class white men are still not convinced Barack Obama is the best choice. His campaign spent more than $11 million dollars there...some of it on negative advertising...and he still got whacked. He told me he didn't expect to win there but his campaign didn't expect to lose by nine points either.
Conventional wisdom says Hillary Clinton needs a "narrative" to reinvent herself for the super delegates...give them some reason to look closely at her for the top spot again. That may never happen. If Obama wins as expected in North Carolina and Indiana the race is all but over. She can't really catch him in the delegate count or the popular vote. But she has done damage to his candidacy, perhaps not irreparable, but real. His speech in Evansville last night was flat, he looked weary and the soaring rhetoric wasn't there. The politics of distraction and personal destruction are wearing on him and giving some voters pause about where it all goes from here. The so-called "angry white man" vote will never be his nor will the women Maureen Dowd calls the "shoulder pad feminists." But in this age of ever shortening attention spans and the American Idol syndrome of instant voter gratification, Obama and his people have to worry about a sense of voter fatigue and over exposure. It all appears to be getting too petty, too similar to the politics he says he got into this race to change.
Pat Buchanan suggests Obama "has peaked" and like a ballplayer after a hitting streak gone sour he's taking too many pitches with two strikes. It's not good enough to back into the nomination, he has to impart the sense that he's won it. For lack of a better phrase, he has to "keep the dream alive." And it would help if he could find a narrative that convinces those "angry white man" that he understands them as well as he understood the anger of his pastor Jeremiah Wright. He does, of course, but he's got to make the case with his gut as well as his head. Hillary and Bill Clinton can't let their dream go no matter how implausible it becomes. Barack Obama can't let the Cllinton politics destroy his.
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drerunner
Apr 25, 2008 | 12:43 AM |
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drerunner
Apr 25, 2008 | 12:46 AM |
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JimAllen
Apr 29, 2008 | 5:11 PM |
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drerunner
Apr 29, 2008 | 9:41 PM |
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JimAllen
May 8, 2008 | 8:34 PM |
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valentinemartin
Aug 13, 2008 | 2:15 PM |
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valentinemartin
Aug 13, 2008 | 2:15 PM |
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