jackconaty's Blog

It's become increasingly apparent that Senator Barack Obama, barring an unforseen bombshell, will become the Democratic nominee for president.   Polls show the race tightening in Pennsylvania and give hime more than a twenty point lead in North Carolina.

It's also clear that most Democratic party leaders want to end this thing soon.  Were it not for her Rasputin-like political reputation, the media would have foreclosed on the candidacy of Hillary Clinton weeks ago.  Why does it continue?  In part because it's simply a great story lthat has fascinated millions of Americans.  Race, gender and generational change at a time when the country is at war and most probably facing the most serious economic situation the country has faced since the Great Depression.

Odds makers in London put the chances of Obama's winning the presidency at better than 80 per cent.  Enthusiasm for his candidacy is palpable in Germany, France and across Europe.  The slow and steady dissolution of the Clinton candidacy is fasciinating to watch.  The mistakes, the arrogance, the sense of entitlement all combine to give her presidential bid the aura of the fading dominance of the baby boom generation.

Obama's candidacy will have more ups and downs.  But it has taken on an air of inevitability.  If he can finish within a few points of Clinton in Pennsylvania, let alone win, the race is all but over.   The only real question now is who tells Bill?.