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by jackconaty from chicago

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stay with me on this one if you will.  with a little more than 48 hours to go until we get the results in new hampshire...a new rasmussen poll gives barack obama a sizeable lead and shows john mccain in a tighter race with mitt romney on the republican side. there's still another debate on the fox news channel tonight...and that promises more fireworks.  but what mccain and obama seem to be selling so well at this point is a sense of "authenticity." mccain slipped to the back of the pack when voters began to sense he had lost it...and barely resembled the maverick who once rode the "straight talk express" in new hampshire back in 2000.  and obama has been saying throughout his campaign that he promises to tell you "not what you want to hear but what you need to know."  "the wire" is a gritty and ruthlessly honest cop drama about life on the streets of baltimore...but it could resemble any major american city.  i'm no tv critic but i think it's probably some of the best writing i've ever seen or heard about the complicated interactions that start on a street corner and weave their way into the politics of city hall.  what intrigues me about the connection between the wire and the presidential race is that sense of "authenticty."  politics and hollywood have many similarties, but the most obvious is both have an unyeilding desperation to please.  use polls, research, focus groups or anything else that will give one the sense of what the american people want...and then give it to them.  and time and again, whether on the airwaves or in political debates, we get material someone has "vetted" for likeability...the suggestion if not the insistence that there will be an easy answer, a quick solution and a happy ending.  but this political year, i sense a different hunger from voters i talked with.  they're beyond that now.  they want someone to tell them it is very complicated and our only way out may be good, sound judgment and a basic sense of decency.  the creator of the "the wire", former newspaper reporter david simon, has managed to capture that with a tv series that stays away from "black and white" and "good guys and bad guys."  in simon's series we're all in this together whether we like it or not.  good guys don't always win and black guys don't always lose.  and racial groups are neither perpetual victims nor constant perpetrators.  when obama talks about change and hope he's tapping into a nerve among many voters, people tired of anesthetics and slogans.  when mccain tells voters that dangers in the middle east will only worsen if america "cuts and runs", you're tempted to use that old slogan from barry goldwater in 1964, "in your heart you know he's right."  it's an old axiom in the media business that "jornalists don't shape public opinion...they merely reflect it." the world depicted on "the wire" is one of diminished expectations but a desperate sense that hard work on seemingly insoluble problems can still make a difference...that the only real bad guys are the ones who suggest it can't.  barack obama and john mccain may or may not win on tuesday and that may or may not lead one or both of them to the nominations of their individual parties.  but in their own way and in their own style both are telling americans that this is not the political year for commercials that talk about "morning in america."  it is in fact getting late...and the response their "tough love" talk is getting on the campaign trail suggests many voters know it. my sense is the results we get out of new hampshire on tuesday will make that clear.          
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southportbeat read my blog
Jan 6, 2008 | 8:57 PM

very interesting jack. i think your theory about what voters want is right on. i'm not certain, though, how "tough" obama's talk has been. his line about saying "not what you want to hear but what you need to know" is a good one. but what has he told us that we need to know? his speeches, from what i've seen from afar, seem to say little more than "we need change." we do. he's right. but what hard moves does he intend to make to accomplish this? he's said we need to get out of iraq. okay. that's tangible. but what else?

and about his iraq stance, it's interesting that his position is the exact opposite of the other topic of your blog: mccain.

as for "the wire"... i just watched an episode for the first time in my life (the new season premier). it is very good. i used to love the show "homicide." i think simon might've worked on that too. the wire is similar, but with more politics. no wonder you dig it.
--david

therman4 read my blog
Jan 7, 2008 | 1:13 PM

Obama is a Washington insider and just as much part of the problem as the other candidates. He's being disingenous; he's a phony and has been given a pandering pass in not having to explain himself, especially by the media for fear they'll be categorized as mean-spirited, racist or bashing. Nonsense. Presuming Obama makes it all the way, guaranteed he'll cave under pressure from the mudslinging Right and won't stand a chance at getting elected. He's a pee-wee leaguer and lacks the ability to make any substantive change, since he's part of the problem. And, the next President will be another Republican. His braggadocio rhetoric will only enamor and enthrall those who lack courage and conviction to delve deeply into his real record, some of which rightly came out in the recent NH so-called debates on ABC.

lawanda7 read my blog view my photos
Jan 8, 2008 | 12:25 PM

Who do you think will win the Republican primary in New Hampshire? * 49154 responses

Rudy Giuliani 2.6%
Mike Huckabee 9.9%

Duncan Hunter 0.3%
John McCain 63%

Ron Paul 11%
Mitt Romney 12%

Fred Thompson 0.8%

Who do you think will win the Democratic primary in New Hampshire? * 50600 responses

Hillary Clinton 17%
John Edwards 7.2%

Mike Gravel 0.4%
Dennis Kucinich 1.7%

Barack Obama 73%
Bill Richardson 0.7%

freeramosandcompean read my blog
Jan 8, 2008 | 9:52 PM

Jack,
just what kind of BLEEP reporting did you just drop on the 'news' cough, while explaining how obama might have lost in NH. 'Some people decided 25 years ago" on their vote? Are you trying to say that people who don't vote for that snake oil salesman are racist as opposed to not getting caught up in media hype and a candidate without a record or substance and wants to socialize the country - including giving benefits and amnesty to illegal alien criminals or reduced drug sentencing guidelines for his fellow drug users?
If we want to elect a store front preacher, we'd vote for him or the other huckster.
shameful.

freeramosandcompean read my blog
Jan 9, 2008 | 9:15 PM

so today, it's not race afterall but something else? c'mon jack. where is the credibility?

friendofyours
Jan 17, 2008 | 3:23 AM

Freeramos:
why when BILL says he didn't inhale it was much adoo about nothing but when Obama admits to drug use as a TEENAGER it is some federal offense...
It is nearly comical how a degree from HARVARD LAW gets denegrated to 'storefront preacher'
I smell jealousy and fear and seriously doubt ramos and compean will be free anytime soon (at least I hope not if you are the one championing the cause)

freeramosandcompean read my blog
Jan 17, 2008 | 9:14 AM

friend of who?
Clinton's smoking was bad (so was jorge bush's alleged coke use and DUI). Clinton's 'did not inhale' was BS. His lying made it worse.
Obama has gone around, almost bragging (see him on Leno stating 'inhaling was the point'?)
His lack of remorse while speaking to high schoolers is a HUGE problem.
Mayor Daley claiming 'Obama made some mistakes but turned his life around' while he has his police force arrest any recreational drug users they find was hypocritical.
And a harvard law degree does not make a person great.
And since obama supports amnesty for illegal aliens and the incarceration of the two wrongly convicted border patrol agents, his law degree did not make him wise, either.
no substance + all rhetoric = storefront preacher = obama.

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jackconaty

i'm jack conaty...the political editor at fox news chicago.

Member Since: 9/18/2006